Theresa Ponder and Rod Owens are analysts for a multinational investment bank, Datko Bank, based in Canada. Datko's clients have been advised to diversify globally, due to a decrease in expected long-term growth for North American economies. As part of her analysis of global stocks, Ponder uses the domestic CAPM and the international CAPM to value stocks. She makes the following statements regarding the extension of the domestic capital asset pricing model (CAPM); Statement 1: To extend the domestic CAPM to international asset pricing using the extended CAPM, one must make two additional assumptions. First, that global investors have identical consumption baskets and second, that interest rate parity holds throughout the world. Statement 2: The extended CAPM assumes that exchange rate changes are predictable so that there is no real exchange rate risk. As the primary analyst for European securities, Owens analyzes the stocks in the countries of Catonia and Arbutia. Catonia and Arbutia arc not currently members of the European Union, but have a timetable for joining by the end of the decade. To evaluate Caionian stocks, he uses the international CAPM. Owens mentions that a foreign currency risk premium must be added in this model, and that the risk premium depends on various parity conditions. He finds that the foreign exchange expectation relation and interest rate parity hold between Canada and Catonia. The interest rate in Canada is 2%, and the interest rate in Catonia is 5%. One of the companies Owens follows in Arbutia is Diversified Metal Finishers. Diversified produces customized sheet metal applications for manufacturers throughout the world. The firm enjoys a competitive advantage because Arbutia is a commodity-rich country which allows Diversified to source its inputs locally. Owens has found that when the Arbutian currency changes by 10%, the value of the Diversified stock generally changes by 6%. Ponder is also analyzing stocks in the nations of Bisharov and Dineva. She is estimating the expected return using the international CAPM (ICAPM) for Ivanova Metals, located in Dineva. The data for Canada, Dineva, and lvanova are shown in the following. The foreign currency is denoted as the local currency (LC). Canadian risk-free rate 2.00% Dineva risk-free rate 8.00% World market risk premium 6.00% Dineva index beta to world market index 1.40 Dineva local market risk premium 7.50% Ivanova beta to local index 1.30 Foreign currency risk premium 3.00% Dineva sensitivity of LC stock returns to LC 0.70 Owens examines Ponder's analysis and makes the following statements: Statement 1: To protect the growing economy and prevent capital flight, the Bisharov government taxes foreign investors at higher rates and has placed limits on currency convertibility. In Dineva, the government has taken a more hands-off approach and does not regulate .foreign investment. If the world were to consist entirely of countries like Bisharov, then the ICAPM cannot be applied. Statement 2; Furthermore, inflation is often a concern in emerging market countries. To measure an exchange rate between Canada and an emerging market currency that is adjusted for inflation, a real exchange rate should be calculated. Assuming no change in the real exchange rate, the change in an emerging market's asset values in domestic currency will just reflect the emerging market's asset returns in local currency and the difference between inflation rates in the domestic and foreign countries. Regarding the statements made by Owens on the ICAPM and inflation, are both statements correct?
Mary Montpicr is an equity analyst with World Renowned Advisors. The firm provides investment advice and financial planning services globally to institutional and retail clients. Shortly after the company opened an office in Malaysia, Montpier's supervisor in the New York office. Rick Reynolds, asked her to relocate, and Montpier agreed. The goal of the new Malaysian office is to serve as a source of international investment opportunities for U .S . clients. Montpier's main task is to cover small-cap stocks in the region and develop a network of contacts with other investment firms in the region. Through her interaction with other analysts in Malaysia, Montpier learns that the use of material nonpublic information is common practice in analyst research reports and recommendations. Such practice is not prohibited by law in Malaysia. Montpier is encouraged by this knowledge because she recently observed several investment bankers meeting numerous times at an exclusive local country club with the CEOs of two Malaysian rival companies. It is public information that one of the companies is searching for potential acquisition targets. She has thought several times about issuing a recommendation on one of the companies but has not done so for fear of breaking the law. After learning of the Malaysian insider trading laws, Montpier recommends the stock of the acquisition target, which she had already established as a good investment through prior research. Montpier has also learned that Malaysian law is very lax regarding outside consulting arrangements by investment professionals. It is common for analysts and portfolio managers to maintain ongoing consulting contracts with entities other than their primary employer. As a result of this, Montpier has begun financial service consultations for members of a local investment club. The club is developing an appropriate compensation package for her services, which to date have included financial planning activities and investment research. When Montpier established the relationship with the investment club, she informed them that she had a full-time job at World Renowned Advisers, which offers similar services. After a year of consulting with the investment club, Malaysian law changed, requiring investment bankers, securities analysts, and portfolio managers to register with the Malaysian Securities Commission in order to engage in independent consulting practice. Since she is unaware of the change, Montpier does not file the proper registration forms and is later investigated, fined, and temporarily sanctioned by the Malaysian Securities Commission. Montpier is able to have the sanction, but not the fine, removed after appealing the Commission's ruling. Montpier's counterpart in the New York office is Jim Taylor, who has worked as an analyst at World Renowned Advisors for approximately seven years. Taylor researches health care and biotech stocks for the firm and participates in client meetings when managers are recommending stocks that Taylor covers. Taylor recently completed Level 1 of the CFA examination and is waiting for his results so he can register for the Level 2 examination. In preparation for a client meeting, Taylor's supervisor, Jessica James, asks him to prepare a research report on attractive companies in the health care industry. Since Taylor is busy preparing for company conference calls, James tells him to 'throw something together from the street.' To meet James' request, Taylor obtains reports on Immune Healthcare and Remedy Corp., two companies that he has heard about but has not researched. Taylor takes the original reports he obtains from a third-party, adds some general industry information, and submits 'strong buy' recommendations to James for the stocks. He does not credit the original authors in the report, which is a violation of copyright law. Taylor includes his qualifications in the report and mentions that he is a 'Level 2 Candidate in the CFA Program.' Although written procedures require James to review all analyst reports prior to release, time constraints often prevent her from reviewing the reports prior to distribution. James recommends the stocks to her clients, who then purchase them. Several months later, the clients are able to sell the Immune Healthcare and Remedy Corp. shares at annualized rates of return of 21% and 17%, respectively. James informs Taylor of the clients' successful investments and requests that he begin investigating potential biotech investments for the same group of investors. To gain insight on biotech stocks, Taylor registers for an upcoming medical study, where he and others will be the subject of testing for the efficacy of several new drugs. On his application, Taylor indicates that he has the appropriate medical condition for the study and signs a confidentiality agreement, but he leaves the question about his occupation blank. During the study, Taylor learns that two of the new drugs on which Next Breakthrough Corp. is awaiting regulatory approval have serious negative side effects in patient testing. This information confirms existing research that Taylor has been working on in the health care sector. At the conclusion of the study, Taylor sends an e-mail to his clients recommending that they 'sell' Next Breakthrough Corp. Over the next two weeks. Next Breakthrough releases information that the drugs in question have been held up by a regulatory agency pending additional investigation. The stock plunges over 30% on the news. In providing financial planning and investment research services to the investment club, has Montpier likely violated any CFA Institute Standards of Professional Conduct?
James Kelley is the CFO of X-Sport Inc., a manufacturer of high-end outdoor sporting equipment. Using both debt and equity, X-Sport has been acquiring small competitor companies rather rapidly over the past few years, leading Kelley to believe that the firm's capital structure may have drifted from its optimal mix. Kelley has been asked by the board of directors to evaluate the situation and provide a presentation that includes details of the firm's capita! structure as well as a risk assessment. In order to assist with his analysis, Kelley has collected information on the current financial situation of X-Sport. He has also projected the financial information for alternative financing plans. This information is presented in Exhibit 1.
After carefully analyzing the data, Kelley writes his analysis and proposal and submits the report to Richard Haywood, the chairman and CEO of X-Sport Inc. Excerpts from the analysis and proposal follow: * In selecting a re-financing plan, we must not push our leverage ratio too high. An overly aggressive leverage ratio will likely cause debt rating agencies to downgrade our debt rating from its current Baa rating, causing our cost of debt to rise dramatically. This effect is explained using the static trade-off capital structure theory, which states that if our debt usage becomes high enough, the marginal increase in the interest tax shield will be more than The marginal increase in the costs of financial distress. However, using some additional leverage will benefit the company by reducing the net agency costs of equity required to align the interests of X-Sport management with its shareholders. * In the event that X-Sport decides to proceed with a recapitalization plan, I recommend Plan D since it is the most consistent with the shareholders' interests. Haywood reviews the report and calls Kelley into his office to discuss the proposal. Haywood suggests that Flan B would be the most appropriate choice for adjusting X-Sport's capital structure. Before Kelley can argue, however, the two are interrupted by a previously scheduled meeting with a supplier. Haywood takes Kelley's data and proposes to the board of directors that X-Sport pursue one of three alternatives to restructure the company. The first alternative is Plan B from Kelley's analysis. The second alternative involves separating GearTech, one of the companies acquired over the last few years, from the rest of the company by issuing new GearTech shares to X-Sport common shareholders. The third alternative involves creating a new company, Euro-Sport, out of the firm's European operations and selling 35% of the new Euro-Sport shares to the public while retaining 65% of the shares within X-Sport. After some persuading, Haywood convinces the seven-member board (two of whom were former executives at GearTech) to accept the second alternative, which he had favored from the beginning. The board puts together an announcement to its shareholders as well as the general public, detailing the terms and goals of the plan. A group of shareholders, upset about the board's plan, submit a formal objection to X-Sport's board as well as to the SEC. In the objection, the shareholders state that the independence of the board has been compromised to the detriment of the company and its shareholders. The objection also states that: * The value of X-Sport's common stock has been impaired as a result of the poor corporate governance system. * The liability risk of X-Sport has increased due to the increased possibility of future transactions that benefit X-Sport's directors, without regard to the long-term interests of shareholders. * The asset risk of X-Sport has increased due to the inability of investors to trust the GearTech financial disclosures necessary to value the division. Determine whether Kelley's report is correct with regard to the statements made about the static trade-off theory of capital structure and the net agency costs of equity.
Paul Durham, CFA, is a senior manager in the structured bond department within Newton Capital Partners (NCP), an investment banking firm located in the United States. Durham has just returned from an international marketing campaign for NCP's latest structured note offering, a series of equity linked fixed-income securities or ELFS. The bonds will offer a 4.5% coupon paid annually along with the annual return on the S&P 500 Index and will have a maturity of five years. The total face value of the ELFS series is expected to be $200 million.
Susan Jacobs, a fixed-income portfolio manager and principal with Smith & Associates, has decided to include $10 million worth of ELFS in her fixed-income portfolio. At the end of the first year, however, the S&P 500 Index value is 1,054, significantly lower than the initial value of 1,112 set by NCP at the time of the ELFS offering. Jacobs is concerned that the four remaining years of the ELFS life could have similar results and is considering her alternatives to offset the equity exposure of the ELFS position without selling the bonds, Jacobs decides to offset her portfolio's exposure to the ELFS by entering into an equity swap contract. The LIBOR term structure is shown below in Exhibit 1.
After hearing of her plan, one of the other partners with Smith & Associates, Jonathan Widby, feels it is necessary to meet with Jacobs regarding her proposed strategy. Mr. Widby makes the following comments during the meeting: 'You should also know that I am quite bullish on the stock market for the near future. Therefore, as an alternative strategy, I recommend that you establish a long position in a 1 x 3 payer swaption. This strategy would allow you to wait and see how the market performs next year but will give you the ability to enter into a 2-year swap with terms that can be established today should the market have another down year. If, however, you choose to proceed with your strategy, know that credit risk for an equity swap is greatest toward the end of the swap's life. Thus, analysts tracking your portfolio will not be happy with the added credit risk (hat your portfolio will be exposed to as the swap nears the end of its tenor. You should think about what credit derivatives you can use to manage this risk when the time comes.' To offset any credit risk associated with the equity swap, Widby recommends using an index trade strategy by entering into a credit default swap (CDS) as a protection buyer. Widby's strategy would involve purchasing credit protection on an index comprising largely the same issuers (companies) included in the equity index underlying the swap. Widby suggests the CDS should have a maturity equal to that of the swap to provide maximum credit protection. Evaluate, in light of the appropriate equity swap strategy for Jacobs's portfolio, Mr. Widby's comments regarding the credit risk and use of swaptions in Jacobs's portfolio.
Stan Loper is unfamiliar with the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) option pricing model and plans to use a two-period binomial model to value some call options. The stock of Arbor Industries pays no dividends and currently trades for $45. The up-move factor for the stock is 1.15, and the risk-free rate is 4%. He is considering buying two-period European style options on Arbor Industries with a strike price of S40. The delta of these options over the first period is 0.83. Loper is curious about the effect of time on the value of the calls in the binomial model, so he also calculates the value of a one-period European style call option with a strike price of 40. Loper is also interested in using the BSM model to price European and American call and put options. He is concerned, however, whether the assumptions necessary to derive the model are realistic. The assumptions he is particularly concerned about are: * The volatility of the option value is known and constant. * Stock prices are lognormally distributed. * The continuous risk-free rate is known and constant. Loper would also like to value options on Rapid Repair, Inc., common stock, but Rapid pays dividends, so Loper is uncertain what the effect will be on the value of the options. Loper uses the two-period model to value long positions in the Rapid Repair call and put options without accounting for the fact that Rapid Repair pays common dividends. The value of a two-period 40 call on Arbor Industries stock is closest to: